Category 2018 Election

Have your say: Is #PunchaNazi the rallying cry for a leftist revival? Should it be?

#PunchaNazi became a trending hashtag this week as the fallout from Charlottesville and the President’s rather inept handling of the situation spread. The violent tendencies of the extremists on the right-wing of American society is nothing new. One only needs to look as far back as Oklahoma City and the abortion clinic bombings of the […]

Putnam’s rightward lurch is smart politics and natural to him

Florida political insiders seem to be aghast at Adam Putnam’s shift to the right. Whether it’s touting gun rights or attacking CNN as “fake news,” Putnam has more certainly attempted to re-position himself in the last few weeks. Given the rightward lurch of the GOP first in 2008 when Mike Pence replaced Putnam in the […]

2018 Governor: Is it time for Florida’s aristocracy to reassert control of the state?

The two major political parties leading candidates for Governor are both from traditional Florida families – scion’s from historically important landowning and agricultural families. These families have long ruled Florida politics, though the emergence of Jeb Bush, an import from Texas and Rick Scott, as pure a carpetbagger as you’d find running for office changed […]

2018 House and Senate legislative race ratings

Beginning next month we will periodically be crunching data and rating each of the races for State Legislature in 2017 and 2018 – beginning with this summer’s special elections. The categories we will be using are: Safe Republican Likely Republican Leans Republican Toss Up Leans Democratic Likely Democratic Safe Democratic Democrats are bullish that the […]

The Gwen Graham electoral strategic paradox

Former Congresswoman Gwen Graham announced her candidacy for Governor this week in Miami-Dade County – the county of her birth, but a locale in an area of the state less representative of the diverse views that help make Florida a microcosm for the entire nation than the district she previously represented in Congress- though that […]

The changing base for Democratic gubernatorial nominees

The Democrats last won a Governor’s race in 1994 which was before the current era of Democratic competitiveness of Presidential elections in the state began (The Democrats have basically won 4 of the last 6 Presidential elections in the state, the 2000 election being unquestionably won by Al Gore if you consider voter intent). Prior […]

The Phlip Side: 2018 FL Dem. Dream Team

It is a fact that you can’t beat somebody with nobody.  In politics, no matter how bad somebody is you are unlikely to beat them unless you have a better option.  Over the past decade Democrats have won a grand total of zero Florida Cabinet races.  The Florida Democratic Party failed to even recruit a […]