Category 2018 Election

Red shift Florida: All 67 counties have moved toward the GOP since 2010 in off-year performance
A spreadsheet tracking the two-party vote percentage in Governor’s races since 2010 has yielded a very unpleasant conclusion for Democrats. The below spreadsheet tracks two-party % in all four Gubernatorial Election since 2010. https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1r3D07YNOJlmwm3wmWE0yz3R__KEiUmvZkyspNMmHmHQ/edit?usp=sharing

Florida Democratic consultancy class is to blame for electoral failures.
Florida’s Democratic Party elite are exceptionally good at winning primaries and controlling the internal narrative yet exceptionally bad at winning general elections and understanding the electorate . When you predict the first election accurately over the “experts”,you pat yourself on the back knowing that you were able to accurately predict the election and beat those […]

Data tells us racism DID NOT fuel the Gillum/Nelson vote split. In fact the data may shock you…
Election night and the morning after many around the Democratic Party and the national chattering classes were spinning that racism must have been the reason Bill Nelson received more votes than Andrew Gillum statewide (outside ballot error-driven Broward County). I pushed back on this suggestion because I don’t like the Democrats obsession with race and […]

Reclaiming Progressiveness: Time for a new third way to emerge from the wreckage of the Trump/identity era.
A Third Way doesn’t have to be about moderation. It could be a call to moderation but it is from the vantage point of where we sit today, a call for something different than what the two major political parties are offering. It should be something empowering and positive. Politics is broken and those who […]

2018 Governor’s numbers showed geographic shifts of both party bases continues
Democrats have been able in the last two election Gubernatorial election cycles to effectively further minimize Republican strength in urban areas. Comparing 2010 when Alex Sink ran a campaign which appealed to moderate voters, those dissatisfied with President Obama’s job performance and classic rural Democrats, once the bedrock of the party in this state with […]

The Democrats lawsuits have benefited the Republicans also
Lawyers representing Florida’s aggrieved Democratic candidates for US Senator, Governor and State Representative filed a flurry of lawsuits in the past week. These lawsuits, attacked by the GOP and partisan corners of the media have already begun benefiting Republicans, as they might into the future as well. It can be argued what the Democrats have […]

Post-Election Analysis: Democrats “targeting” shows lack of understanding statewide elections.
With the election now, somewhat, over, we can start looking at the results and getting an idea of what happened on Election Day. In the next few weeks, after the results are official, I will be writing an article about the Florida Vote Projection Model that we updated daily on this website. As of right […]

Another Florida Democratic disaster. Wave doesn’t reach Florida. (UPDATED and EDITED)
Florida Democrats have once again struck out in a big way. For the third straight cycle the Democrats have been embarrassed in Florida. But what made this cycle worse is it seemingly came against the tide nationally, which favored the Democrats heavily. Like 1998 and 2006, good national years for the Democrats were not replicated […]

Sunday 7pm ET on PNN: The Florida Squeeze team breaks down the election
Sunday, 7pm on Progressive News Network we review Florida’s election, its miscounts and recounts, and take a look at the road ahead for Amendment 4 implementation. This week Brook Hines runs the show joined by Kartik Krishnaiyer and Dave Trotter from The Florida Squeeze. Dave’s election models published on the Squeeze provided the ONLY accurate […]

Dr. Brenda Snipes – Long a thorn in the side of dark blue Broward
Jeb Bush appointee, Dr. Brenda Snipes, administrative incompetence, unwillingness to make voting more accessible to large numbers of Broward County residents without prodding from outside activists and other Democratic elected officials has long prevented Broward – the most Democratic metropolitan county in the southeast United States, from reaching its full potential. Snipes administrative incompetence has […]