Category 2018 Election

2018 House and Senate legislative race ratings

Beginning next month we will periodically be crunching data and rating each of the races for State Legislature in 2017 and 2018 – beginning with this summer’s special elections. The categories we will be using are: Safe Republican Likely Republican Leans Republican Toss Up Leans Democratic Likely Democratic Safe Democratic Democrats are bullish that the […]

The Gwen Graham electoral strategic paradox

Former Congresswoman Gwen Graham announced her candidacy for Governor this week in Miami-Dade County – the county of her birth, but a locale in an area of the state less representative of the diverse views that help make Florida a microcosm for the entire nation than the district she previously represented in Congress- though that […]

The changing base for Democratic gubernatorial nominees

The Democrats last won a Governor’s race in 1994 which was before the current era of Democratic competitiveness of Presidential elections in the state began (The Democrats have basically won 4 of the last 6 Presidential elections in the state, the 2000 election being unquestionably won by Al Gore if you consider voter intent). Prior […]

The Phlip Side: 2018 FL Dem. Dream Team

It is a fact that you can’t beat somebody with nobody.  In politics, no matter how bad somebody is you are unlikely to beat them unless you have a better option.  Over the past decade Democrats have won a grand total of zero Florida Cabinet races.  The Florida Democratic Party failed to even recruit a […]

Trump playing a long game with voter fraud allegations – it’s a cynical Republican ploy

If you turned on CNN anytime in the last 24 hours, you heard nonstop talk about how crazy Donald Trump was to make unfounded and insulting allegations of massive voter fraud. Trump isn’t simply saying these things to stir the pot and justify his own election, since he lost the popular vote by a wide […]