Category 2018

The changing base for Democratic gubernatorial nominees

The Democrats last won a Governor’s race in 1994 which was before the current era of Democratic competitiveness of Presidential elections in the state began (The Democrats have basically won 4 of the last 6 Presidential elections in the state, the 2000 election being unquestionably won by Al Gore if you consider voter intent). Prior […]

Do the demographic shifts in Florida really favor Democrats? Recent evidence indicates No

We’ve heard virtually ad nauseam that Florida is shifting irrevocably toward the Democrats because of the increase in the Hispanic and foreign-born population. While the upward shifts in Democratic vote can be observed in some core urban areas (Miami-Dade County went from 52% Democratic in the two party vote to 65% between 2000 and 2016, Orange […]