Category 2018

Florida Vote Projection Model – Day 4: Democrats severely under-performing in VBM compared to 2016.

Overnight, Democrats were able to make some gains on the Republicans statewide. But the GOP still has the early advantage when in comes to the 2018 General Election. As of 8:00 AM this morning, over 327,000 people have voted in Florida, a 2.5% overall turnout rate. The Republican turnout rate 3.22%, while Democratic turnout rate […]

2018 FLORIDA VOTE PROJECTION MODEL – DAY 3

With over 280,000 votes in, we are starting to get a better idea of how November’s election might look. As of right now, it looks like it may be a repeat of the 2016 election cycle. Since the last model was presented, a few counties have flipped from the Democrats to the Republicans, with the […]

2018 Florida Vote Projection Model – Day 1

It is that time of year again. Everyone comes up with their predictions for the elections. Many in the prediction business, like Nate Silver, look at public opinion polling to determine voting behavior. Some, like the Larry Sabato, don’t use any methodology and just approach predictions in a crystal ball manner (hence the name of […]

Irma a year later: Assessing the rubble of Florida’s disaster and preventing failure again

A year ago, the entirety of peninsular Florida was impacted by a storm named Irma. Powerful as it had been when it impacted the Leeward Islands and other parts of the Caribbean, a slight wobble which took into northern Cuba significantly took away its bite as it approached Florida. Peninsular Florida also had the added […]

State Senate & House August Endorsements

STATE SENATE Gary Farmer in SD 34 Farmer, one of the leading progressives in the legislature has been challenged in the primary by former State Representative Jim Waldman, whom Farmer defeated two years ago in a primary. Waldman’s record as House member was questionable. Jason Pizzo in SD 38 Pizzo has a great resume but […]

Coded Antisemitism growing within the Democratic Party

While the Democratic Party has wrapped itself around identity politics for the purposes of building a coalition in elections and perhaps out of a desire to avoid meaningful dialogue on larger issues that actually impact minority communities, a dangerous drift toward coded antisemitism appears to be underway.  Take for example a recent Orlando Weekly cover […]

Democrats cheering on Ron DeSantis should be careful what they wish for

In the past few weeks, I have heard from more than a handful of Democrats who haven’t learned a powerful past lesson of Republican primaries in Florida – cheering on the most extreme right-wing candidate for an office and hoping to face them in November has often meant that candidate wins the office outright. But […]

Nominate a centrist (Diet Republican) or Democrats will lose! Wait haven’t we been sold that **** before?

The party establishment is at it once again. Playing the game of fear to promote the idea of centrist, corporate-type candidates as the Democratic statewide torch-bearers in November.  The only way to stop Trump-styled fascism in this state is to nominate centrists who are from outside southern Florida and who can appeal to “swing voters.” […]

Moderation when liberty is on the defense is a vice – now more than ever

The last two weeks have reminded all Americans who believe in some sort of social justice and egalitarianism how far of the path the United States has gone. From an inhumane immigration and migrant policy reminiscent of far-right authoritarian states of yesteryear, to SCOTUS decisions that limit the actual ability of the courts to reign […]

Choice of Yamiche Alcindor as Gubernatorial forum moderator causing some angst among progressives

Last Tuesday, a coalition of progressive groups announced the moderators for the first south Florida Democratic Gubernatorial Debate, which is oddly dubbed the “Florida Freedom Forum.”  (It has become consultant-driven a fad on the left to try and imitate and mimic the rhetoric and code from the right, but the term “freedom” particularly in the […]