Category 2022 Governor

DNC member weighs on where Florida Democrats need to go from here

By Thomas Kennedy (article first appeared on Substack @ The Florida Democratic Party thought it hit rock bottom in November 2020 when Donald Trump defeated Joe Biden in Florida by three percentage points, which constituted a landslide in the Sunshine State at the time. That cycle was marred with controversy, most notably a regrettable […]

Red shift Florida: All 67 counties have moved toward the GOP since 2010 in off-year performance

A spreadsheet tracking the two-party vote percentage in Governor’s races since 2010 has yielded a very unpleasant conclusion for Democrats. The below spreadsheet tracks two-party % in all four Gubernatorial Election since 2010.

Red-Shift Florida: Democrats, you have more than a Latino problem – you have a non-white, working-class problem thanks to de-emphasis of economics (unlike other states)

As always Florida Democrats are spinning like mad after another embarrassing election cycle . The takeaway now is that the Latino problem of 2020 deepened in 2022. Yes, that is correct. But what’s even more apparent is as Florida becomes less white, and more diverse, it’s drift toward the GOP is accelerating at a breakneck […]

Nowcast update: GOP surging, Simon takes slight lead over Ausley in SD-3 and link for election night video coverage beginning at 7 et/6 ct

Update: Turnout Rate: 40.61% Margin: GOP wins by 9.6% to 11.19% Dem Turnout: 41.16% Rep Turnout: 50.26% State Senate 3 Ausley (D): 49.9% Simon (R): 50.1% Below is the video link for tonight’s coverage.

Nicole: Hurricane Watches issued for Florida’s east coast – Election Day impacts?

The National Hurricane Center had issued a Hurricane Watch for Brevard, Indian River, St Lucie, Martin, Palm Beach and Broward counties regarding subTropical (at the moment) Storm Nicole. Tropical Storm Watches have been issued for the rest of the Florida east coast as well as Hendy, Highlands, Okeechobee Orange, Osceola and Seminole Counties Modeling indicates the […]

Express Lane special: Dems woes worsen as GOP turnout surges across the “collar counties”leading to a potentially tragic end to Charlie Crist’s great career serving this state

A few days ago, it appeared that inspite of horrible polling, Democrats might still be in the game in Florida. Why? GOP turnout was low and many Dems who had requested VBM’s has yet to return their ballots. But as we close the book on the week before the election, the GOP has been able […]

You Tube Early Voting & VBM Nowcast update tonight @ 6 pm ET

Crist hits DeSantis for refusing to condemn growing antisemitism

We ran the Express Lane column too early today it appears. Governor Crist has released this statement about Governor DeSantis: “I am disgusted and horrified at the hateful, antisemitic rhetoric that was displayed in Jacksonville this weekend. Hate should have no home in Florida, period. “But while antisemitism is spreading in our state, Governor DeSantis […]

Democrats struggling statewide- Sign up for the 2022 Nowcast at Voting Trend

You can sign up for my 2022 Nowcast Model at Voting to get the latest real-time data from all 67 counties as Florida’s 2022 General Election hits its first weekend of Early Voting. We look at votes already cast, not polls or expert predictions like other sites. Here is a sample some of the […]

Express Lane: Grow Tallahassee at it again, Democrats target the panhandle and Crist fundraising

What’s wrong with this ad from right-wing Grow Tallahassee? Well everything. First off both Dream Defenders and Florida Rising are grassroots organizations born and breed in Florida. They are not “national progressives.” Secondly, “embracing” endorsements from grassroots-oriented membership organizations should be a fundamental part of running for local office. Mayor John Dailey has had no […]