Category 2016 Presidential

Election Day LIVE!

6:00pm ET Kartik (@kkfla737) All indications are positive for the Democrats…but I remind people that 2004 fooled many analysts. Granted that was before the days of Twitter and Nate Silver, etc but Democratic confidence was supremely high at 6:00pm ET…by 7:30 pm ET I was convinced John Kerry had lost the state. 5:00pm  ET Kartik (@kkfla737) Several […]

2016: The baby boomers last gasp? We can only hope so

President Obama’s election in 2008 heralded in a new era of political thinking and understanding. Much like Bill Clinton’s election in 1992 solidified the baby boomers’ generation as the ones in power, Obama’s election began the transition toward a younger, perhaps more liberal generation. But the 2016 presidential campaign has been the boomers revenge as […]

2016 emails 1996 campaign finance all over again? Clintonian deja vu

Call it Clintonian deja vu. In 1996, Bill Clinton was cruising to reelection and Democrats seemed destined to retake Congress after (what we at the time thought was an accidental) the 1994 GOP sweep. But late-breaking news intervened in 1996 cost the Democrats a chance to retake Congress while Clinton still cruised to reelection albeit […]

Poll: Clinton email scandal

The American political landscape was rocked on Friday by FBI Director James Comey’s decision to reopen the Clinton email probe. Do you feel this is a politically-motivated October surprise by a Republican FBI Director looking to help Donald Trump’s candidacy? Or is Comey trying to help Republican hold the Senate? Or perhaps Comey is simply […]

Florida hurricanes, the Bush family and Presidential politics

Every twelve years it now seems tropical weather becomes inextricably linked with presidential politics in Florida. For whatever reason, 1992, 2004 and 2016 are all years where major storm events have impacted Florida. Given Donald Trump’s loose and dirty mouth it appears he is not poised to take advantage of the perception that Governor Rick […]

Donald Trump, Cuba, conservatism and the American fifth column

Immoral laws are meant to be broken – at least that’s what those of us with morals believe. Donald Trump’s violation of the US embargo against Cuba wasn’t an act of civil disobedience but one of a man with a disregard for the rule of law. “There is only one course open to someone like […]

The Phlip Side: Democratic Veepstakes

The selection of a running mate is one of the most important decisions that any major party nominee for president has in their run for The White House.  Sec. Clinton has many options to choose from, but the Veepstakes should be a two horse race with a clear frontrunner.  The first option, which isn’t likely […]

The Phlip Side: Bernie Sanders should be Pres. Clinton’s DNC Chair

There is no question that Bernie Sanders did much better with his campaign than anybody (himself included) thought was possible just a year ago.  Although his campaign will inevitably fall short on Tuesday, when Hillary Clinton will officially become the presumptive Democratic nominee, the success he has had is an opportunity that should not be […]

The Phlip Side: Proposed Democratic Presidential Primary Changes

We are at the tail end of the process of selecting the Democratic nominee for president, and while there are no serious flaws with the process there are some things that can be done to improve it.  The biggest problem that needs to be fixed is a perception problem, especially with the Super Delegates.  The […]

The Phlip Side: Presidential Election Math

By Sean Phillippi  The Electoral College is an arcane, and not completely democratic, way of electing a president. That being said, it is the system we have, so we must look at this election through the lens of the Electoral College map. For historical reference, here is the 2012 Electoral College projection I posted two […]