Category 2016 Presidential

Democrats failed to take advantage of top of the ticket down-ballot again in 2016

In 2010, 2012 and 2014 Democrats failed to take advantage of decent performances at the top of the ticket in legislative races. We’ve written about this extensively in the past but given some new data it bears repeating. In 2012 President Obama carried 54 State House districts but the Democrats only elected 44 members (which […]

Today’s Democratic Party – Multiculturalism run amok causing a counter-reaction?

We’ve discussed identity politics time and again on this site and the general danger it poses to the Democratic Party. The willingness of leaders in our party to park ideology at the door in order to promote candidates that fit a certain demographic profile. Many in the party have had a different standard for ideological purity when […]

How Trump got Establishment Democrats to help him steal the election

Democrats made some horrible miscalculations during this election cycle, but some of us are currently showing an alarming tendency to blame the only people who aren’t culpable — the voters. I understand the emotional satisfaction of lashing out at those perceived to have let us down, but it’s a counterproductive exercise to aim anger at […]

Democratic presidential performance in Florida’s largest counties 2000-2016 analyzed

We’ve taken the 15 biggest counties and done a very basic analysis. Deeper-dive analysis will certainly be done by this website and others in the coming weeks and months. For this analysis we’ve eliminated all votes for third and fourth counties as well as undervotes/overvotes and just taken percentage of the overall vote. In the […]

Anti-Trump protests in the larger picture

We’ve had several days now of anti-Trump protests across the nation almost entirely in large cities (including Orlando) and college campuses. While frustration with the result of the 2016 Presidential Election is widespread among those of us who care about the general health and welfare of all Americans and the image of this nation abroad, the protests […]

What’s wrong with Volusia? Pasco? Brevard? Democrats must engage up and down I-75 and I-95

I’ll come out and say it- I hate third ways. But in this case the debate between those in the Democratic Party who see organizing as a contest between emphasis on northern Florida versus urban areas (which increasingly means just southeast Florida and the Orlando area, excluding Tampa Bay at the same level where Democrats […]

Hey progressives, white folks aren’t demons and matter also

Tuesday night was like Election Day 2004 all over again.  The same feeling, the same shock. But this time the takeaway is more stark than it was on the night when George W. Bush was elected properly for the first time by the American people (the history books will say “reelected” but those of us […]

Early Florida takeaways from county level data (UPDATED)

Much more to digest after a historic election that this but a few indicators that the Democrats were going to struggle at the top of the ticket on Tuesday were apparent early. The numbers from Pinellas County were mildly shocking. In 2004, I had made an early determination that it would be George W. Bush’s […]

Election Day LIVE!

6:00pm ET Kartik (@kkfla737) All indications are positive for the Democrats…but I remind people that 2004 fooled many analysts. Granted that was before the days of Twitter and Nate Silver, etc but Democratic confidence was supremely high at 6:00pm ET…by 7:30 pm ET I was convinced John Kerry had lost the state. 5:00pm  ET Kartik (@kkfla737) Several […]

2016: The baby boomers last gasp? We can only hope so

President Obama’s election in 2008 heralded in a new era of political thinking and understanding. Much like Bill Clinton’s election in 1992 solidified the baby boomers’ generation as the ones in power, Obama’s election began the transition toward a younger, perhaps more liberal generation. But the 2016 presidential campaign has been the boomers revenge as […]