Category 2022 Elections

Kiplinger Preserve stream

The Kiplinger Preserve in Martin County features a stream that runs into the St Lucie River.

Express Lane: Dems looking to rally in Early Voting after a week of GOP success; antisemitism rocks Florida with DeSantis seemingly unwilling to condemn it; The good and bad of Chairman Diaz’s endorsements

We’ve never seen such a one-sided week in Florida politics in terms of real ballots cast. The GOP has effectively run the table throughout the state outside of Leon, Pinellas and Alachua Counties in early voting so far. The Democrats have tapped Karla Hernández, the party’s Lieutenant Governor nominee to try and turn things around […]

Democrats struggling statewide- Sign up for the 2022 Nowcast at Voting Trend

You can sign up for my 2022 Nowcast Model at Voting Trend.com to get the latest real-time data from all 67 counties as Florida’s 2022 General Election hits its first weekend of Early Voting. We look at votes already cast, not polls or expert predictions like other sites. Here is a sample some of the […]

With voter turnout alarmingly low, President Obama cuts robocall for Florida Democrats

Currently Florida Democrats are getting their clocks cleaned in voter turnout. Our Dave Trotter’s Nowcast model indicates Democrats have lost FIVE POINTS statewide this week alone, based on votes already cast, not polls or projections. In this terrible atmosphere, President Obama is trying to fire up Florida Democrats with this robo call. Maybe this can […]

Express Lane: MES despicable racist TV Ad, DeSantis doesn’t return dirty Khawaja money, continued controversy in the Tallahassee Mayors Race, Dems being clobbered in Central Florida Early Voting

State Senator Annette Taddeo, the Democratic Nominee for Florida’s 27th Congressional District, is hosting press conference today alongside leaders in the Black community following false attacks from María Elvira Salazar and her GOP allies in a television campaign ad claiming a community meeting Senator Taddeo attended in her official capacity as a state senator at Second Baptist […]

Marco Rubio’s racist friends

There’s an old saying in Spanish, “Dime con quien andas, y te dire quien eres.” In a nutshell you are who you hang out with. There are somethings that you can overlook, wearing socks with sandals, or a coat and flip flops, all crimes of fashion but forgivable. There are other things that would be […]

Express Lane: Grow Tallahassee at it again, Democrats target the panhandle and Crist fundraising

What’s wrong with this ad from right-wing Grow Tallahassee? Well everything. First off both Dream Defenders and Florida Rising are grassroots organizations born and breed in Florida. They are not “national progressives.” Secondly, “embracing” endorsements from grassroots-oriented membership organizations should be a fundamental part of running for local office. Mayor John Dailey has had no […]

Rent stabilization issue gaining traction as Governor Crist weighs in

In Orange County, the Rent Stabilization measure we at TFS have endorsed is facing strong opposition from the Realtors PAC and landlords association, who have hit voters with SIX mailers already. Florida’s cost-of-living crisis which has only worsened in the weeks since Hurricane Ian made landfall can be remedied if public officials did their jobs. […]

Express Lane: Tallahassee Round-up! Manny Diaz’s Bizarre Mayoral Endorsement; Grow Tallahassee Strikes Again for Scandal-Plagued Nick Maddox

Today has been a wild one for those following Leon County politics. Florida political observers of all stripes are closely watching Tallahassee local elections, where a discredited, unpopular status quo led by Mayor John Dailey is facing a challenge from a dynamic movement for common-sense grassroots reform. The Chair of the Florida Democratic Party Manny […]

Cultural fits matter in elections – winnable races being blown

As Election Day approaches, we need to examine successes and failures, and adopt accordingly. Now, looking at national trends and trying to make them work in Florida is not always a good idea, but it’s a useful exercise nonetheless. Two weeks out it’s impossible to know the results, but I think we can see definite […]