Category 2016 Presidential
Exclusive: 2016 Presidential in Florida by MSA
We’ve seen just about every imaginable breakdown of votes from the 2016 Presidential Election. But it was surprising to see no breakdown by MSA (Metropolitan Statistical Area) as defined by the Census Bureau. From my vantage point, the below chart which we’ve worked out using votes for only the two major party candidates paints an ugly […]
Florida exit polls – Progressiveness at a crossroads and the failure of identity politics
As the world watches the peaceful transition of power in the United States with a certain degree of anxiety and awe progressives look to regroup. Today seems a perfect day to look at the exit polling data from November 8 and try and comprehend how Hillary Clinton lost the Presidency here in Florida. Progressives are […]
Democrats failed to take advantage of top of the ticket down-ballot again in 2016
In 2010, 2012 and 2014 Democrats failed to take advantage of decent performances at the top of the ticket in legislative races. We’ve written about this extensively in the past but given some new data it bears repeating. In 2012 President Obama carried 54 State House districts but the Democrats only elected 44 members (which […]
Today’s Democratic Party – Multiculturalism run amok causing a counter-reaction?
We’ve discussed identity politics time and again on this site and the general danger it poses to the Democratic Party. The willingness of leaders in our party to park ideology at the door in order to promote candidates that fit a certain demographic profile. Many in the party have had a different standard for ideological purity when […]
How Trump got Establishment Democrats to help him steal the election
Democrats made some horrible miscalculations during this election cycle, but some of us are currently showing an alarming tendency to blame the only people who aren’t culpable — the voters. I understand the emotional satisfaction of lashing out at those perceived to have let us down, but it’s a counterproductive exercise to aim anger at […]
Democratic presidential performance in Florida’s largest counties 2000-2016 analyzed
We’ve taken the 15 biggest counties and done a very basic analysis. Deeper-dive analysis will certainly be done by this website and others in the coming weeks and months. For this analysis we’ve eliminated all votes for third and fourth counties as well as undervotes/overvotes and just taken percentage of the overall vote. In the […]
Anti-Trump protests in the larger picture
We’ve had several days now of anti-Trump protests across the nation almost entirely in large cities (including Orlando) and college campuses. While frustration with the result of the 2016 Presidential Election is widespread among those of us who care about the general health and welfare of all Americans and the image of this nation abroad, the protests […]
What’s wrong with Volusia? Pasco? Brevard? Democrats must engage up and down I-75 and I-95
I’ll come out and say it- I hate third ways. But in this case the debate between those in the Democratic Party who see organizing as a contest between emphasis on northern Florida versus urban areas (which increasingly means just southeast Florida and the Orlando area, excluding Tampa Bay at the same level where Democrats […]
Hey progressives, white folks aren’t demons and matter also
Tuesday night was like Election Day 2004 all over again. The same feeling, the same shock. But this time the takeaway is more stark than it was on the night when George W. Bush was elected properly for the first time by the American people (the history books will say “reelected” but those of us […]
Early Florida takeaways from county level data (UPDATED)
Much more to digest after a historic election that this but a few indicators that the Democrats were going to struggle at the top of the ticket on Tuesday were apparent early. The numbers from Pinellas County were mildly shocking. In 2004, I had made an early determination that it would be George W. Bush’s […]
The Florida Squeeze 