We’re now almost two weeks into the vote-by-mail distribution in several counties and the GOP appears in a more favorable position when compared to 2018 and 2020, both years they won at the top-of-the-ticket in the state. Thus far, with about 400,000 votes in statewide, the GOP is beginning to benefit from ballots that are […]
On this edition of the Florida History Podcast, we discuss the 1952 Governor’s Election, a historic turning point in Florida’s history. This will be the first in a series of podcasts on historic governor’s elections in Florida. You can also view our original TFS documentary on McCarty’s election here. You can listen to the Florida […]
The wait is over. Election Day is approaching. And with that, the new 2022 Florida Nowcast Model is here! Using the same algorithm from 2018 and 2020, I have just completed the model for the 2022 General Election. If you are interested in accessing the 2022 model, it’s easy. Just go to my website by clicking […]
GOPers have used the “big lie” to gum up the works so much that they passed SB 90 in 2021, a piece of legislation that effectively discriminates against older voters and minority communities by allowing partisan observers to challenge signatures on VBM ballots. What we’re seeing today in Florida across the state, as voters are […]
The Florida Senate hasn’t been a competitive chamber for 20 years, and will not be this year. However, following redistricting, Republicans are in striking distance of a super majority, needing 27 out of the available 40 to win a super-majority. In this piece, we want to cover every race, to give our readers a preview. […]
As Democratic activists since the 1990’s , we have always feared a major inside push to dis-enfranchise voters — particularly Black voters — beyond the usual nefarious games that are played in state legislation making it more difficult for everyone to vote. What we’re seeing today in Florida across the state, as voters are voting, […]
Bolded are what we consider key races 1- Charlie Nichols 2- Carolynn Zonia 3- Loranne Ausley 4- Sharmin Smith 5- Tracie Davis 8- Andrea Williams 9- Rodney Long 10- Joy Marcil-Goff 11- Brian Patrick Moore 12- Veysel Dokur 13- Stephanie Dukes 14- Janet Cruz 16- Darrel Rouson 17- Linda Stewart 18- Eunic Ortiz 21- Amaro […]
On yesterday’s TFS Twitter Space, conversations about Hurricane Ian and the Crist and Demings campaigns we ended up moving on to a topic which defines the malaise of Florida Democrats – voter registration. The GOP surge in voter registration relative to Democrats in the state over the course of the last two years has been […]
The Florida Squeeze 