So, to start off, I have to admit something. I made a mistake yesterday. I accidentally took around 10,000 to 15,000 votes away from the Democrats in Lee County. An input error on my part. So, the Republican did not have as big of a swing as the model projected. They did have a swing […]
Editors note: We’re going to begin covering College Basketball this season at TFS in addition to some soon-to-come non-political features we’re adding to the site. If I told you the University of Miami’s Men’s Basketball has finished a season in the AP Top 10 twice since the football team last did you might think I […]
Another day of VBM and early voting in the books, and another day where the Republicans increase their lead. Yes, Democrats are turning out to vote, but so are Republicans. And even though Democrats may have the lead in pure turnout numbers, they still lag behind in turnout rate. There are two reasons Democrats are […]
It’s less than a week until election day and we’re all going to die. A mass shooting in Pittsburgh by an anti-Semite, 15 pipe bombs sent through the mail to left-wing political figures and a racially motivated shooting in Louisville, Kentucky. On the international front, hundreds, and possibly thousands, of Hondurans are headed toward the […]
First, the projection map has been updated. It has a lot more detail than previous maps, including turnout tabs. So, enjoy the new map. Also, there is going to be a new model with new methodology out (due to the changes in pre-Election Day polling). The old model will remain up, but the new model […]
Editors note: Portions of this piece are from previous TFS’ articles which have become timely in this moment of tragedy Donald Trump personally is not antisemitic we are told over and over again. I accept that statement, I suppose – but George Wallace wasn’t a racist personally and yet he conjured up racist anger not […]
Overnight, the margin went slightly in the Republican’s favor. However, the overall trends continue to show that this is going to be a close race. As I have mentioned in the last two posts, it is a turnout game now. But how that turnout is happening is quite interesting. Let’s take a look. Turnout Summary: […]
Following eight years of Rick Scott’s anti-environmental administration, cleaning up and resorting the Everglades water quality and flows which is mandated by a court order is further behind schedule than imaginable. Scott’s alliance with sugar barons in southern Florida has been mirrored by a legislature unwilling to stand up to the industry with the exception […]
First, before I get into the analysis, I just want to say that we are still waiting for the early vote and vote by mail report from Palm Beach County to be submitted to the Division of Elections. You figured after the 2000 election that Palm Beach County would have gotten their act together, but […]
The DC political press corps favorite GOPer (though this is not true of the Florida press corp who have generally tried to keep him honest), Florida Junior Senator Marco Rubio has reappeared as a national figure in the wake of this week’s tragic events. After days of silence following an attempt by one of his […]
The Florida Squeeze 