Category 2022 Elections

Bob Martinez becomes Governor in banner GOP year- 1986

Bob Martinez was elected Governor in a banner GOP year that began the state’s drift toward the GOP. We discuss it in the latest Florida History Podcast. You can listen to the Florida History Podcast on Anchor (which hosts our show), Spotify, Google, Apple Podcasts, Radio Public, Breaker, Overcast, Castro or Pocket Casts. Overcast, Castro, Spotify, Radio Public and Breaker have App Store apps for free […]

The end is nigh for Rick Scott

For all the talk of Joe Biden, Donald Trump and Ron DeSantis, a strong argument can be made that nobody had a bigger impact on the midterms nationally, than Florida Senator Rick Scott. In the spring, Senator Scott, the head of the Republican’s Senate campaign arm (NRSC) released his laughable, “Rescue America Plan,” and by […]

Florida Democrats need to take a deep breathe and assess what’s gone wrong instead of rearranging the Titanic’s deck chairs yet again

The Florida Democratic Party is going through it’s usual even year, mid-November hand-wringing and once again instead of taking a deep breathe and assessing the situation from a longer-term perspective, we have the usual band-aid solutions. Here are some quick thoughts on this: Every time Democrats have been beaten badly or their has been internal […]

Florida exit polls- A crimson tide across the state

Exit polling gives a real insight into the red tide that spread across Florida on Tuesday. Florida Senate Florida Governor

The red tsunami in numbers

With Tuesday’s clean sweep, the GOP has now won 24 of the last 26 races for governor and cabinet. The GOP will have either 84 or 85 State House seats. If its 85, it breaks the record for the party when it held 84 seats after the 2004 election. Ron DeSantis victory margin was the […]

Nicole now a Hurricane

The National Hurricane Center had upgraded Nicole to Hurricane status as of 6 am ET. Maximum sustained winds are now 75 MPH and pressure is down to 980 MB. A Hurricane Warning is in effect for… The Abacos, Berry Islands, and Grand Bahama Island in thenorthwestern Bahamas Boca Raton to Flagler/Volusia County Line Florida A […]

Tuesday’s Red Wave – a Florida-specific phenomena that was long coming

Unsurprisingly to myself and our Dave Trotter who does the best forecast models for Florida elections, the GOP swept the state on Tuesday. Peeling a layer back, nothing at all was surprising. Here’s a checklist. For YEARS I have been begging Democrats to engage in exurban areas and medium-sized counties. Constantly mentioning it has actually […]

TFS & Voting Trend begin a “deep dive” post-mortem to look at Florida Democrats

If you work in Florida Democratic politics, are in a local Democratic party, or involved in any way, feel free to email me with problems you have noticed with the Florida Democrats . Everything is confidential. Email me at floridademocrats2022@gmail.com. Kartik Krishnaiyer and I are working on a “deep dive” post-mortem which seeks to assess […]

RED TIDE

The red wave election that has long been coming in Florida, finally came. For two decades, Florida Democrats have been dependent on national money and national help to keep the state competitive, and when left to their own devices have failed miserably. This election, was the first Florida Democrats had to run on their own, […]

Nowcast update: GOP surging, Simon takes slight lead over Ausley in SD-3 and link for election night video coverage beginning at 7 et/6 ct

Update: Turnout Rate: 40.61% Margin: GOP wins by 9.6% to 11.19% Dem Turnout: 41.16% Rep Turnout: 50.26% State Senate 3 Ausley (D): 49.9% Simon (R): 50.1% Below is the video link for tonight’s coverage.