Monthly Archives: October 2022
Express Lane: GOP voter suppression, Crist’s comeback efforts and early VBM thoughts
GOPers have used the “big lie” to gum up the works so much that they passed SB 90 in 2021, a piece of legislation that effectively discriminates against older voters and minority communities by allowing partisan observers to challenge signatures on VBM ballots. What we’re seeing today in Florida across the state, as voters are […]
Florida Senate Preview – one month out
The Florida Senate hasn’t been a competitive chamber for 20 years, and will not be this year. However, following redistricting, Republicans are in striking distance of a super majority, needing 27 out of the available 40 to win a super-majority. In this piece, we want to cover every race, to give our readers a preview. […]
Express Lane: Voter Suppression — It’s Happening; John Dailey’s “October Surprise” Redux; Josh Johnson Surging in Key Leon Matchup
As Democratic activists since the 1990’s , we have always feared a major inside push to dis-enfranchise voters — particularly Black voters — beyond the usual nefarious games that are played in state legislation making it more difficult for everyone to vote. What we’re seeing today in Florida across the state, as voters are voting, […]
TFS Endorsements – State Senate
Bolded are what we consider key races 1- Charlie Nichols 2- Carolynn Zonia 3- Loranne Ausley 4- Sharmin Smith 5- Tracie Davis 8- Andrea Williams 9- Rodney Long 10- Joy Marcil-Goff 11- Brian Patrick Moore 12- Veysel Dokur 13- Stephanie Dukes 14- Janet Cruz 16- Darrel Rouson 17- Linda Stewart 18- Eunic Ortiz 21- Amaro […]
The Express Lane: With book closing day tomorrow, It’s voter registration, stupid
On yesterday’s TFS Twitter Space, conversations about Hurricane Ian and the Crist and Demings campaigns we ended up moving on to a topic which defines the malaise of Florida Democrats – voter registration. The GOP surge in voter registration relative to Democrats in the state over the course of the last two years has been […]
Welcome to Voting Trend – a robust daily look at Florida turnout and voting
We will be posting a fresh Nowcast turnout model for 2022 everyday for premium members and other features for general members at my new website Voting Trend. In 2018 and 2020 our Nowcast model that was featured on The Florida Squeeze was the most accurate model in the state, projecting both Ron DeSantis and Donald […]
Collier County natural areas after Ian – Big Cypress
A slideshow of Big Cypress after Ian, filmed on Saturday October 8, 2022. Note these photos are from the hiking trail on either side of MM 62 on I-75 in Collier County. The hiking trail at MM 70 is closed. The Vistor Center on US-41 is closed. Florida Panther National Wildlife Refuge and Picayune Strand […]
The Florida Squeeze 