Monthly Archives: October 2024
Dreadful start to in-person early voting for Democrats in Florida
In-person early voting opened in Florida on Monday and it took just ten hours for the GOP to overturn the Democrats turnout advantage statewide. For comparison, this did not happen until election day itself in 2020 and the Thursday of the first week of early voting in 2022.
Voting Trend & TFS poll in FL-13 confirms dead-heat race
The Florida Squeeze has partnered with Voting Trend to commission a poll by St Pete Polls the most reliable Florida-based polling firm on CD-13. The poll was funded by TFS and Voting Trend readers. The congressional district which is based in Pinellas County is currently held by GOP Incumbent Anna Paulina Luna. The district was […]
As early voting kicks off, Democrats very much alive in Florida
In person early voting begins in Florida on Monday and the Democrats are very much in the game Peight negative comparison of VBMb numbers to 2020. Kartik Krishnaiyer explains why 2020 may not be the proper baseline to look at but 2016 may be more appropriate.
Why Jacksonville is bucking the GOP trend in Florida
Unlike the rest of Florida, Jacksonville, (which is more of a traditional southern urban center)is trending Democratic. Jacksonville’s trend is more similar to other several southern urban centers like the suburbs of Atlanta Charlotte and Nashville, than it is like the rest of Florida. This has a lot to do with demographics and we get […]
Broward County – explaining the backsliding of Democrats in what used to be the southeast USA’s most blue urban county
In 2012 Broward County was the urban county in the southeast USA, which gave Barack Obama, his highest percentage of the vote. By 2020, several urban counties in other southeastern states had passed Broward to give Joe Biden, a higher percentage of the vote. Since 2020 to trend towards the Republicans in the county has […]
Prominent Florida Republicans endorse Kamala Harris
For old Florida politicos like myself the endorsements camel Harris received Wednesday are a big deal. I’m not under any illusions as to how this will impact voters many of whom weren’t even living in the state when these leaders were prominent but symbolically it says a great deal.
How will early voting be impacted by the Hurricanes?
Now that we begun cleanup efforts, how will Helene and Milton impact early voting? Will it impact the Democrats prospects in Florida? Also stop looking at polls in mid October. We have actual votes that have been cast and being cast, and there is no need to worry about what the polling data says.
Putin declares victory
In the geopolitical sense the war in Ukraine is over. In global strategic terms Vladimir Putin won; NATO, US, Europe and Ukraine lost. The take-away is Putin’s military aggression was a success. He’s been rewarded for military aggression in Georgia (2008) and Ukraine twice (2014, 2022). He has gained territory and his reputation for delivering results […]
The Democrats Villages obsession- it’s so 2012: It’s the exurbs stupid !
The Democrats in Florida have focused heavily on symbolism of The Villages . The last last few election cycles, It’s done nothing to change the party’s bad fortune statewide, and while The Villages are important, they’re probably less important in terms of the states electric and they were 10 years ago. Yes, the Democrats need […]
The Florida Squeeze 