Monthly Archives: October 2022

Express Lane: VBM numbers indicate that Florida Democrats up against it on multiple fronts

Note: The Express Lane will run early today, as we have a space on Twitter at 3pm to discuss everything that is happening Facing an increasingly popular incumbent governor in Ron DeSantis, Florida Democrats have to be alarmed looking at VBM return numbers thus far from across the state, outside of Palm Beach, Leon and […]

A hidden hiking trail in Big Cypress National Preserve (BEFORE IAN)

This slide show video contains photos from a hiking trail deep into Big Cypress National Preserve which is accessible from the rest area on I-75 NB at mile marker 62 (Alligator Alley) in Collier County between Fort Lauderdale and Naples. These photos are from mid-September, about two weeks before Hurricane Ian hit the area.

Florida Election Update – Twitter Space on Sunday

Scheduled for Sunday at 3 pm ET

TFS Documentary – Finding Dan McCarty

To accompany our recent podcast on the 1952 Election

Jacksonville City Council Maps Thrown Out; Latest Ian fatality counts by county

On October 12th, Judge Marcia Morales Howard issued a stay on the City of Jacksonville’s municipal lines, effectively meaning the maps cannot be used in the 2023 election cycle.  The suit brought by the ACLU, NAACP, the Northside Coalition and others alleges that the city illegally, Intentionally, packed black voters into four districts solely based […]

Intercoastal Mangrove in Broward County

Avelo postponing Fort Myers base launch in wake of Ian

Unfortunately, this was always in the cards after Ian – Avelo Airlines an exciting Ultra-low cost carrier we’ve previously featured at TFS is postponing their launch of a base in Fort Myers indefensibly. Speculation is that the resources will be reallocated to Orlando, where Avelo operates a base already, Fort Lauderdale, Tampa and Sarasota. Flights […]

Express Lane: VBM numbers favor GOP early – but Palm Beach really cooking for the Democrats; Ian forces DeSantis to make election changes in certain counties

We’re now almost two weeks into the vote-by-mail distribution in several counties and the GOP appears in a more favorable position when compared to 2018 and 2020, both years they won at the top-of-the-ticket in the state. Thus far, with about 400,000 votes in statewide, the GOP is beginning to benefit from ballots that are […]

1952- Dan McCarty is elected

On this edition of the Florida History Podcast, we discuss the 1952 Governor’s Election, a historic turning point in Florida’s history. This will be the first in a series of podcasts on historic governor’s elections in Florida. You can also view our original TFS documentary on McCarty’s election here. You can listen to the Florida […]

2022 Florida Nowcast Election Model is Here!

The wait is over. Election Day is approaching. And with that, the new 2022 Florida Nowcast Model is here! Using the same algorithm from 2018 and 2020, I have just completed the model for the 2022 General Election. If you are interested in accessing the 2022 model, it’s easy. Just go to my website by clicking […]