Monthly Archives: September 2022
Florida Democrats score a hit with earned media in south Florida on DeSantis stunt
As someone who has often been critical of the Democratic party’s comms strategy, let me congratulate them on all of these outstanding earned media hits in the Miami/Fort Lauderdale market regarding DeSantis and Martha’s Vineyard. This is good framing. Links to clips below: WPLG (ABC) WSVN (FOX) WFOR (CBS) WTVJ (NBC) WLTV (Univision) WSCV (Telemundo)
Preparing for Ian: Beyond the basics of storm tracking
Every Hurricane season, it’s important relearn some basics about storm tracking and advisories. 1- The cone which the NHC puts out in its advisories track the potential land fall spot for the CENTER OF CIRCULATION IN THE STORM. This does not mean bad weather is limited to areas within the cone. In fact, we have […]
TFS Archives: Hurricane modeling in the wake of Elsa (2021)
Tropical Storm/Hurricane Elsa finally cleared Florida on Thursday after over a week of waiting and impacts. Elsa was a rare early season Cape Verde-type storm which made its forecasting particularly difficult and unique. The National Hurricane Center (NHC) did very well in projecting a forecast track – remarkably well in fact. The modeling that the […]
TFS Express Lane September 23: Hurricane models, DeSantis fails Florida history and SD-3 race
Hurricane Irma plowed right up the Florida Peninsula this month, five years ago, leaving 84 Floridians dead and a trail of destruction all over. Now we’re on alert again. Below are the latest runs from the GFS and EURO models, the two most reliable models historically. Note they are more reliable for track than for […]
Goodbye Gorbachev
For decades a nuclear sword of Damocles hung over the head of the world. This was the essence of the Cold War. During those decades there were periods of relative peace and times when a Third World War seemed unavoidable. In the 1980s things heated up considerably. Ronald Reagan became the President and promised a […]
TFS Express Lane for September 22: Tallahassee goings on, Jason Broduer’s campaign against the media and Al Lawson’s chances
After getting caught with his hand in the cookie jar, Mayor John Dailey was forced go back on his private promises with City money in recent days in Tallahassee. After investigative reporting showed he had given stakeholders commitments of specific allocations of public dollars at now-infamous meetings that took place at his house, the recommendations […]
Peaceful Waters: Hidden gem in Wellington
Peaceful Waters Sanctuary is in Wellington, western Palm Beach County. It’s a newer preserve, dating from 2009 and tucked away behind baseball diamonds and soccer fields in a public park, but a real hidden gem. Check out the scenes from this beautiful wetlands preserve.
TFS Express Lane September 21: Is the Florida GOP a threat to US support for Ukraine, and David Kerner
First off, our Kartik Krishnaiyer has written a piece on Governor DeSantis for The New Republic, one of the premier political & policy publications in the US for generations. Check it out. With Vladimir Putin threatening, not only escalation of the war in Ukraine, but annexation of large swaths of internationally recognized Ukrainian territory, now […]
TFS Endorsements: US House contests
We focus on the four most critical House races in the state (CD 2, CD 13, CD 15 and CD 27) while giving recommendations in several others as well. Since Don Fuqua’s election in 1962, Tallahassee has been at the center of a Congressional District, and while more often than not, the Congressional Representative like […]
The Florida Squeeze 