Tag Archives: 2018 Elections

Florida Democratic consultancy class is to blame for electoral failures.

Florida’s Democratic Party elite are exceptionally good at winning primaries and controlling the internal narrative yet exceptionally bad at winning general elections and understanding the electorate .  When you predict the first election accurately over the “experts”,you pat yourself on the back knowing that you were able to accurately predict the election and beat those […]

Florida Democrats – Participation medals and every person for themselves

WRITERS NOTE: WHEN I REFER TO “FLORIDA DEMOCRATS” OR “DEMOCRATS IN FLORIDA,” OR “THE PARTY” IN THIS ARTICLE I AM NOT REFERRING TO THE FLORIDA DEMOCRATIC PARTY, WHICH AS A STANDALONE ENTITY IS NOT ITSELF THE OVERRIDING PROBLEM IN THIS STATE. I REFER TO A GROUP OF ELITES, MANY OF WHOM DO NOT HAVE ANY […]

Where do Florida Democrats go from here? Some quick suggestions to start.

Florida’s Democrats once again under-performed relative to expectations on Tuesday. But perhaps expectations need to be tweaked while a truly deep dive into the parties troubles is commenced. Having lost 21 of the last 22 races for Governor and Cabinet (including 12 in a row), Florida at the state level lacks true electoral competition. You […]

Live! Election Day in Florida

We’re calling it a night and working on some analysis for tomorrow! Speak to y’all soon.  11:50 pm EST (Brook Hines): Rick Scott has rushed to claim victory while Nelson is not conceding due to voting issues in south Florida.  11:15 pm EST (Kartik Krishnaiyer): It appears the Democrats will be up to 45 or […]

Analysis: How easy will reversing history in one “wave” be for Florida Democrats? The RPOF gives a playbook.

Florida Democrats are hoping to ride a “blue wave” Tuesday in order to reverse a quarter century of history in this state. As our latest exclusive modeling shows, this is closer reality than a week or two ago.  The Democrats almost certainly will end a statewide office losing streak where the party has won only […]

Florida Vote Projection Model – Day 6: Small gains for Democrats.

Yesterday, we decided to not publish any results from the Florida Vote Projection Model because only 7,000 new votes were submitted by mail, making only minimal change in the model. However, with a haul of over 100,000 votes being submitted yesterday, we are starting the see a shift, ever so slightly, toward the Democrats. However, […]

Florida Vote Projection Model – Day 4: Democrats severely under-performing in VBM compared to 2016.

Overnight, Democrats were able to make some gains on the Republicans statewide. But the GOP still has the early advantage when in comes to the 2018 General Election. As of 8:00 AM this morning, over 327,000 people have voted in Florida, a 2.5% overall turnout rate. The Republican turnout rate 3.22%, while Democratic turnout rate […]