Author Archives: Kartik Krishnaiyer
The NHC got it right with Nicole
The National Hurricane Center (NHC) rightly got lots of criticism for its handling of Hurricane Ian. Not only was forecast wrong because they essentially “split the difference” between models, creating a consensus solution which was way off, but they failed to acknowledge clear wobbles and slight turns on visible radar in their forecasting. In Hurricane […]
Florida Democrats need to take a deep breathe and assess what’s gone wrong instead of rearranging the Titanic’s deck chairs yet again
The Florida Democratic Party is going through it’s usual even year, mid-November hand-wringing and once again instead of taking a deep breathe and assessing the situation from a longer-term perspective, we have the usual band-aid solutions. Here are some quick thoughts on this: All of this is to say, I think Democrats need to assess […]
Florida exit polls- A crimson tide across the state
Exit polling gives a real insight into the red tide that spread across Florida on Tuesday. Florida Senate Florida Governor
Nicole latest at 10 am ET
As our readers know, Hurricane Nicole made landfall as a Category 1 storm early this morning in Indian River County. The storm has taken a toll on the Atlantic Coastline with serious damage reported along the coast from Broward County northward to St Johns County. At 7 am ET the storm was downgraded to a […]
The red tsunami in numbers
Meanwhile, outside Florida it was a good night for the Democrats. That reality should finally force wholesale change in not only party leadership but HOW the party operates.
Nicole now a Hurricane
The National Hurricane Center had upgraded Nicole to Hurricane status as of 6 am ET. Maximum sustained winds are now 75 MPH and pressure is down to 980 MB. A Hurricane Warning is in effect for… A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for… A Storm Surge Warning is in effect for… A Hurricane Watch […]
Tuesday’s Red Wave – a Florida-specific phenomena that was long coming
Unsurprisingly to myself and our Dave Trotter who does the best forecast models for Florida elections, the GOP swept the state on Tuesday. Peeling a layer back, nothing at all was surprising. Here’s a checklist.
Nicole: New Tropical Storm Warnings for the west coast, Hurricane Watch dropped for north of Volusia
At 4am ET the National Hurricane Center issued a Tropical Storm Warning has been issued for the west coast ofFlorida north of Bonita Beach to Indian Pass. The Hurricane Watch from the Flagler/Volusia County Line to PonteVedra Beach Florida has been discontinued. It has been maintained for Broward County (from Hallandale Beach to Boca Raton) […]
Nicole: Storm near Hurricane strength, a look at the models.
At 10 pm ET, Nicole now has maximum sustained winds of 70 MPH, putting it just below Hurricane strength. The storm is moving WSW at 10 MPH. Center is 325 miles east of West Palm Beach. The WSW dip was expected, and is likely why Broward County has a Hurricane Watch despite not being in […]
RED TIDE
The red wave election that has long been coming in Florida, finally came. For two decades, Florida Democrats have been dependent on national money and national help to keep the state competitive, and when left to their own devices have failed miserably. This election, was the first Florida Democrats had to run on their own, […]
The Florida Squeeze 