Author Archives: Kartik Krishnaiyer
As early voting kicks off, Democrats very much alive in Florida
In person early voting begins in Florida on Monday and the Democrats are very much in the game Peight negative comparison of VBMb numbers to 2020. Kartik Krishnaiyer explains why 2020 may not be the proper baseline to look at but 2016 may be more appropriate.
Why Jacksonville is bucking the GOP trend in Florida
Unlike the rest of Florida, Jacksonville, (which is more of a traditional southern urban center)is trending Democratic. Jacksonville’s trend is more similar to other several southern urban centers like the suburbs of Atlanta Charlotte and Nashville, than it is like the rest of Florida. This has a lot to do with demographics and we get […]
Broward County – explaining the backsliding of Democrats in what used to be the southeast USA’s most blue urban county
In 2012 Broward County was the urban county in the southeast USA, which gave Barack Obama, his highest percentage of the vote. By 2020, several urban counties in other southeastern states had passed Broward to give Joe Biden, a higher percentage of the vote. Since 2020 to trend towards the Republicans in the county has […]
Prominent Florida Republicans endorse Kamala Harris
For old Florida politicos like myself the endorsements camel Harris received Wednesday are a big deal. I’m not under any illusions as to how this will impact voters many of whom weren’t even living in the state when these leaders were prominent but symbolically it says a great deal.
How will early voting be impacted by the Hurricanes?
Now that we begun cleanup efforts, how will Helene and Milton impact early voting? Will it impact the Democrats prospects in Florida? Also stop looking at polls in mid October. We have actual votes that have been cast and being cast, and there is no need to worry about what the polling data says.
The Democrats Villages obsession- it’s so 2012: It’s the exurbs stupid !
The Democrats in Florida have focused heavily on symbolism of The Villages . The last last few election cycles, It’s done nothing to change the party’s bad fortune statewide, and while The Villages are important, they’re probably less important in terms of the states electric and they were 10 years ago. Yes, the Democrats need […]
The 2004 Election in Florida: hurricane relief by Jeb Bush won the state for the GOP
The 2004 election in Florida, which was decisive nationally was determined by the aftermath of four hurricanes that hit the state. It’s a lesson for 2024.
The data behind Milton’s historic Tornadic outbreak in southern and central Florida
From NOAA: 342 4 SSW Miccosukee Indian Broward FL 2612 8088 Preliminary starting point for a confirmed tornado that crossed I-75 near the Miccosukee Service Station and moved north to the Brighton Reservation. Pending survey wil (MFL) 1352 9 WSW Weston Broward FL 2604 8052 Preliminary starting point for a confirmed tornado that moved across I-75 […]
DeSantis is DEAD WRONG on Climate Change and Hurricane history in Florida
Following the landfall of Milton Governor DeSantis claimed climate change had nothing to do with increased tropical activity and the size of storms by cherry picking some data about strength of storms around the center. This is almost irrelevant when we talk about the widespread effects of more recent storms that have impacted the states […]
The Florida Squeeze 