Author Archives: Dave Trotter
Voting Trend 2022 Florida Precinct Result Maps now available
For paid subscribers to the newsletter, you can now download the Florida Precinct Results Map for 2022. Sign up here
Why RFK’s poll numbers are basically bull****
Polling firms have been conducting nationwide polls with RFK Jr, Cornell West, and Jill Stein’s names. But these candidates are not even on a majority of state ballots. Read more at Voting Trend.
Medicare for All is the Democrats’ winning issue, but they aren’t using it.
A recent paper from two Columbia University political scientists indicates that Democrats are missing the boat on Medicare for All. Read more at Voting Trend
Florida State Senate ratings
Items that are focused on Florida will be posted on Voting Trend: Florida from this point forward. If you are only interested in Florida information, please sign up for this newsletter. Otherwise, you can stay on the main Voting Trend Substack. Here is the updated map for the Florida Senate projections. If you would like a link […]
The Mexican and UK Elections
Podcast here. Dave Trotter talks about the upcoming elections in Mexico, which are happening on June 2nd. At stake is the survival of two of Mexico’s institutional parties, The Institutional Revolutionary Party (PRI) and the National Action Party (PAN). Also, Dave is joined by Kartik Krishnaiyer to talk about the upcoming general election in the […]
Florida State House voter swing
Voting Trend will be doing a number of legislative swing rates for a number of states, with Florida being the first. In this interactive map, you will be able to see the partisan swing ratings for each Florida State House district. You can click here to access the map, which is shown below. Subscribe to Voting Trend […]
Broward County, the Democrats Ticking Time Bomb
If you are a Democrat in Florida, there is one thing that is certain each election cycle; Broward County is your anchor. No need to spend money in Broward because it will take care of itself. But in 2022, Democratic gubernatorial candidate Charlie Crist dipped below 60%, deviating from the norm. To put it in […]
Are registered Democrats being purged in Florida?
Prominent Democrats have taken to Twitter claiming that they are victims of a targeted purge, but does data support their claim? Over the last couple of months, Florida Democrats have claimed that they are victim to Republican purging of voters due to the enactment of Senate Bill 7050. However, the numbers don’t seem to support […]
Will abortion prove the key issue to revive Florida Democrats fortunes?
No. I know that’s the short answer, but it’s the correct one. In addition to why it’s statistically impossible for Democrats to win statewide in Florida right now, the messaging is too specific. With the new 6-week abortion ban now in effect, the saliency of the abortion issue in the state has increased. Overall in Florida, […]
Why Florida is unwinnable for Democrats
Those of us who were involved, or at least deeply interested, remember the 2000 Presidential Election in Florida like it was yesterday. National news outlets were flipping back and forth as to who won the State of Florida’s 25 electoral votes. But those of us ‘in the know’ weren’t watching television, but were glued to […]
The Florida Squeeze 