Author Archives: Kartik Krishnaiyer

Modeling has converged – Idalia landfall likely in the Big Bend

Its rare to have such consensus between models but with Idalia the major models which the NHC rely on are in general agreement as of this morning. As a result the NHC can with some confidence forecast a landfall somewhere between Homosassa and St Marks. While this is bad news for the state, it’s is […]

New Florida History Podcast Series – the Forts of Florida

Join us every Tuesday in the next few months for a tour around the state as we visit Florida’s forts and the history behind them. From Dry Tortugas to Pensacola, the Sunshine State is covered with forts that have seen action in wars from the 1500’s onward. We will discuss them all in this podcast […]

Idalia rapidly intensifying – major concerns for the Tampa Bay Area

Overnight on visible radar we saw deeper convection and a tropical system that was forming a definitive shape. This morning, the modeling clearly indicated a storm that probably will be a major Hurricane (cat 3 or higher) at landfall somewhere on the west coast of Florida. My greatest fear in the storm is that the […]

From the archives: What the NHC got wrong with Ian, it got right with Nicole

With Idalia barreling towards Florida, the timing is right to rerun this piece which highlighted the differences in how the two storms that struck Florida last year were handled by the National Hurricane Center (NHC). The National Hurricane Center (NHC) rightly got lots of criticism for its handling of Hurricane Ian. Not only was forecast wrong […]

Idalia update: Some observations at 10 am CT

Breaking my Twitter sabbatical for #Idalia, though I plan to resume it after the storm clears Florida. Some observations: 1- I’ve seen the modeling trend eastward over the last 18 hours. Pretty consistent eastward shift. The NHC has now adjusted its forecast track accordingly. This brings the Tampa Bay area into play. 2- The midlevel […]

The Women’s World Cup is my personal Fugitive Slave Act

I’ll readily admit that while considering myself left-of-center politically, I don’t like identity politics or woke stuff. As someone who writes about history, I like to view things more through the lens of class than that of race, though the two are often intertwined- and when they are, I will point it out. I don’t […]

It’s that time of the season again…

Invest 93L (future Idalia) currently in the western Caribbean, has an 80% chance of development and a 25% chance of being a minor hurricane when it reaches the coast of the panhandle, or the Big Bend in a few days. A s the Gulf and Atlantic waters heat up to record temperatures, we will provide […]

Outstanding Mother Jones story on DeSantis ties to the insurance industry

The failure to fix the homeowners insurance crisis and anti-consumer laws shielding insurers from litigation are not a coincidence. Mother Jones investigates further.

How things work in Ron DeSantis Florida

This is brilliant and hits on all the key points in the most concise way possible. One of the great difficulties in critiquing DeSantis is that there is so much to critique about him compared to any other elected official we’ve had to deal with, including Donald Trump in my opinion, it’s difficult to stay […]

The GOP’s very own Neville Chamberlain unmasks himself

This is unbelievable… The party of Ronald Reagan is indeed dead.