Category 2024 President
We’re going to be okay!
Oh, I can’t tell you how exciting it was, you just had to be there. Being just 21 years old and voting for the first African American President. Every Democrat and leftist I knew adored the very concept of Obama becoming our next President. The polls, the excitement, the momentum, everything; was showing a landslide. […]
Democrats have another lousy day in early voting – do the good vibes matter? Sure, but time is running out
Our Kartik Krishnaiyer gives an honest assessment using numbers, data and historical comparisons of the dire situation Democrats find themselves in in Florida currently and what needs to happen in the next 13 days to turn it around.
Could Democrats in Florida be voting differently in 2024?
Democrats had another lousy day in Florida in early voting on Tuesday but is it possible voters are changing the way they plan to vote this cycle? We go through the numbers in the most important counties in Florida and show where the GOP has done particularly well and why we think maybe Democrats, are […]
Why is the Tampa/St Petersburg Media Market the most pro-Trump large market in the country
It’s the exurbs stupid (among other things)
Why do so many “progressives” like Donald Trump?
Many who were part of the progressive movement at one time have turned into a mode where they hate the Democrats – some are even backing Donald Trump in 2024. Why? Besides the obvious horseshoe theory which would put left-wing populism closer to right-wing populism than to center-left liberalism, there are other reasons we explain […]
Voting Trend Podcast: the debate aftermath
Kartik Krishnaiyer and I discuss the last debate, the impact that it has on the election, and how traditional conservatives, like Dick Cheney, found themselves endorsing Kamala Harris. Link here: https://open.substack.com/pub/votingtrend/p/how-can-the-debate-change-the-election?r=624o2&utm_medium=ios
Can Kamala Harris win Florida? Maybe but Florida polls are historically unreliable – here is why.
Why are Florida’s polls going back to 2002 so historically unreliable and what does the rapid increase in non-partisan voters due to elections in Florida? Florida has more major media markets than any other state in the country and that and rapid demographic shifts complicates how to view from a data & polling standpoint.
New YouTube series on the 2024 Election in Florida
Beginning today we will be providing new videos periodically (but at least once a week) on the election in Florida. Bookmark our YouTube page
What should Florida Democrats who really want to help the Harris/Walz ticket and don’t care about local elections do?
Florida is NOT in play. I repeat Florida is NOT in play. Yes, I’ve seen the recent Poling but I’ve also done the math. By my estimations Harris would have to win somewhere between 60% and 62% of the NPA vote in the state to win Florida. For comparison President Obama in his victorious 2012 […]
The Florida Squeeze 