Is a Jeb surge around the corner?

256px-Jeb_Bush_by_Gage_SkidmoreJeb Bush has been left for dead by so many. But he’s staying alive, continuing to raise money and rack in political endorsements. His operation is built out in many of the early primary states and he shows no signs of giving up. Much like John Kerry at this point in 2003, Bush is seen as an elder party statesman being eaten up by an angry and reactionary primary electorate. At this point in 2003, Kerry ran 4th or 5th in Iowa polling, similar to where Bush sits today.

But it is very possible Jeb Bush is John Kerry in that election while Donald Trump is Howard Dean. Bush’s poll numbers have not improved, but the reality is that Jeb! continues to truck along, raising money and creating a decent ground operation.

When America wakes up from its Trump-induced dream, it is possible that January will be the month of Jeb. It will be fascinating to watch whether early 2016 is the death of a cynical politician or provides a revival of an excessively political and slimy character that has somehow sold himself as a caring statesman. I sense it might be the later though my personal preference would be for the former.

Americans are not paying close attention to the Presidential campaign in the way many politicos believe they are. It is entirely possibly as they do, the GOP will gravitate back toward Bush as a party that believes in hierarchy, inheritance and dynasties. Watch this space in the next six weeks.

8 comments

  1. Francis Morra · · Reply

    Dear Kartik, Jeb is whistling past the graveyard. He is paying dearly for his brother’s actions. The more he spends on advertising the worse he is doing in the polls.

  2. Naoya6161 · · Reply

    I don’t think Jeb could make a comeback. He’s turned out to be a pretty lousy candidate and no amount of money will be able to fix that.

  3. Steve Ellman · · Reply

    I don’t understand this:

    “When America wakes up from its Trump-induced dream, it is possible that January will be the month of Jeb. It will be fascinating to watch whether early 2016 is the death of a cynical politician or provides a revival of an excessively political and slimy character that has somehow sold himself as a caring statesman. I sense it might be the later though my personal preference would be for the former.”

    1. Basically I am saying Jeb is chameleon and a slimy political character not the statesman so many want to claim.

  4. Dave Trotter · · Reply

    First, I think Kerry ran 3rd in Iowa polling at this point, not 4th or 5th. Second, Iowa means a lot less for the Republican nomination than it does for the Democrats. Third, Democrats always “play it safe” since 1988, and this new Republican Party has been electing radicals everywhere. A lot has changed in twelve years.

    1. He was 4th behind Dean, Gephardt and Edwards. Still your points are well taken.

  5. patrianakos · · Reply

    I suspect the GOP won’t awaken from their Trump-fed delirium until the night of November 8. Remember that Romney’s advisers actually thought the polls were wrong and their guy would win.

  6. The states after Iowa and New Hampshire are the ones to watch. It’s worth it just to look at the schedule. The following primaries will occur at a fast and furious pace. The only ones to survive them will have superior funding and organization. Jeb has both, if little else.

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