Florida vs. the rest of the south in Presidential elections

Continuing with recent historical themes on the site, we have decided to rank each former Confederate state in terms of Democratic performance for every Presidential election from 1952 to 2012.  Prior to 1952, the GOP had not carried a single southern state since 1928 when Florida was one of three states in the south to breakup the “solid south” and support Herbert Hoover. FDR carried every southern state in all four of his elections. But beginning in 1948 with Harry Tuman’s perceived liberalism on race as the issue, the south began to peel off. Strom Thurmond’s “State Right Democratic Party” or “Dixiecrats” won four deep south states and in 1952 the GOP with Dwight Eisenhower began to take advantage of those divisions.

states are ranked from most Democratic to least Democratic by election. Bolded states were carried by the Democrats in the respective election.  The rankings are based on margin of victory/defeat for Democratic candidates. 1968, where George Wallace carried five southern states as a third-party candidate is ranked by overall Democratic percentage of the vote.

As we see from this study, Florida was from 1952 to 1992 one of the most Republican states in the south in Presidential elections. However, since 1996, Florida has been near the top if not at the very top of southern states in support of Democratic nominees. Interestingly, the only state comparable to Florida in its support for Republicans from 1952 to 1996 was Virginia which in both Obama elections was his best state in the South. States where Democrats historically did better than the rest of the south like Texas and Georgia have gone the other direction in recent years, though at least in Georgia their is a glimmer of hope it trending towards the Democrats.

As previously noted on this site, in the 1980s, all three elections saw Florida with the worst Democratic performance but by 2000 Florida was the most Democratic southern state and it has been first or second ever since.

1952  

Georgia

Alabama

Mississippi

Arkansas

North Carolina 

Louisiana

South Carolina

Tennessee

Texas

Florida

Virginia

1956

Georgia

Mississippi

Alabama

Arkansas

South Carolina

North Carolina 

Tennessee

Texas

Florida

Louisiana

Virginia

1960

Georgia

Louisiana

Alabama

Arkansas

South Carolina

North Carolina

Texas

Mississippi (carried by unpledged electors)

Florida

Virginia

Tennessee

1964

Texas

Arkansas

North Carolina 

Tennesssee

Virginia

Florida

Georgia

South Carolina

Louisiana

Alabama

Mississippi

1968

Texas

Virginia

Florida

North Carolina

Tennesssee

Arkansas

Georgia

South Carolina

Louisiana

Mississippi

Alabama

1972

Texas

Louisiana

Virginia

Tennesssee

Arkansas

North Carolina

South Carolina

Florida

Alabama

Georgia

Mississippi

1976

Georgia

Arkansas

Alabama

South Carolina

Tennessee

North Carolina

Louisiana

Florida

Texas

Mississippi

Virginia

1980

Georgia

Arkansas

Alabama

South Carolina

Tennessee

North Carolina

Mississippi

Louisiana

Virginia

Texas

Florida

1984

Tennessee

Alabama

Arkansas

North Carolina

Georgia

Mississippi

Louisiana

Virginia

Texas

South Carolina

Florida

1988

Louisiana

Texas

Arkansas

North Carolina

Tennessee

Alabama

Georgia

Mississippi

Virginia

South Carolina

Florida

1992

Arkansas

Tennessee

Louisiana

Georgia

North Carolina

Florida

Texas

Virginia

Alabama

Mississippi

1996

Arkansas

Louisiana

Florida

Tennessee

Georgia

Virginia

Texas

North Carolina

Alabama

Mississippi

2000

Florida * (Bush officially carried Florida, but a media consortium found Gore received more votes after including disputed ballots)

Arkansas

Tennessee

Loiusiana

Virginia

Georgia

North Carolina

Alabama

South Carolina

Mississippi

Texas

2004

Florida

Virginia

Arkansas

North Carolina

Tennessee

Louisiana

Georgia

South Carolina

Mississippi

Texas

Alabama

2008

Virginia

Florida

North Carolina

Georgia

South Carolina

Texas

Mississippi

Tennessee

Louisiana

Arkansas

Alabama

2012

Virginia

Florida

North Carolina

Georgia

South Carolina

Mississippi

Texas

Louisiana

Tennessee

Alabama

Arkansas

 

3 comments

  1. Democrats for Crist · · Reply

    Those who see this blog as some sort of great progressive site ought to know the RPOF is reading it and blasting out emails based on the nasty and unsubstantiated things Kartik Krishnaiyer is saying about DEMOCRAT Charlie Crist, our presumptive nominee for Governor.

    LIBERAL BLOGGER WARNS DEMS ABOUT “DISLOYAL” CRIST, POSITIONS ON ABORTION, EDUCATION

    “[H]Is Record On Reproductive Rights, Education … Are All Very Worrying For Progressives.” (Kartik Krishnaiyer, “If Elected Governor Again, Would Charlie Crist Actually Govern From The Left?,” The Florida Squeeze, 7/29/13)

    “Of Greater Concern To Progressives May Be Whether Crist Will Actually Govern Effectively If Elected. Given His Recent Propensity For Disloyalty, It Is A Question Certainly Worth Pondering.” (Kartik Krishnaiyer, “If Elected Governor Again, Would Charlie Crist Actually Govern From The Left?,” The Florida Squeeze, 7/29/13)

    Liberal Florida Blogger: “To Doubt Charlie Crist Was Once A Partisan Republican Is Foolhardy, And Would Involve A Significant Re-Writing Of History.” (Kartik Krishnaiyer, “If Elected Governor Again, Would Charlie Crist Actually Govern From The Left?,” The Florida Squeeze, 7/29/13)

    All of this begs the question as to whether Kartik and his lefty pals are really working for the Republicans. The article about the NSA/FISA program and how liberals should work with the right wingers should answer that question. It’s not just Kartik but a host of other lefties who have decided they would rather force ideogical purity and see our chances for victory go down the drain than win anything.

    Like

    1. Honestly, when I see you Florida Democrats nowadays, this is what I think:

      Like

    2. Also, the Republicans don’t need any “plants”. Florida Democrats are already so good at being lazy and ignorant, they make the GOP’s job of winning easy.

      Like

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