Category Hurricane season
Helene coverage
With Helene barreling toward impacting much of the state, this will be our focus on TFS the next several days. We’ve had rare model convergence on a storm path for the last few days with this system, partly due to other atmospheric conditions- a dip in the Jet Stream and High Pressure sitting on the […]
Hurricane Debby makes landfall
Hurricane Debby with maximum sustained winds of 85 MPH (Cat 1) made landfall in the Big Bend region shortly before 8 am EDT – landfall was in Taylor County. The major threat from Debby is now flooding as it is possible it will stall over Southern Georgia as steering currents weaken. This means it will […]
Debby: Where we stand
The tropical system that is now named Debby has confounded forecasters and the best tropical weather modeling all week. Nut now we have some clarity – Debby is likely to be a Category 1 Hurricane and make landfall early tomorrow morning somewhere in Big Bend region. Stay tuned to TFS for coverage the next several […]
From the archives: What the NHC got wrong with Ian, it got right with Nicole
With Idalia barreling towards Florida, the timing is right to rerun this piece which highlighted the differences in how the two storms that struck Florida last year were handled by the National Hurricane Center (NHC). The National Hurricane Center (NHC) rightly got lots of criticism for its handling of Hurricane Ian. Not only was forecast wrong […]
Idalia update: Some observations at 10 am CT
Breaking my Twitter sabbatical for #Idalia, though I plan to resume it after the storm clears Florida. Some observations: 1- I’ve seen the modeling trend eastward over the last 18 hours. Pretty consistent eastward shift. The NHC has now adjusted its forecast track accordingly. This brings the Tampa Bay area into play. 2- The midlevel […]
It’s that time of the season again…
Invest 93L (future Idalia) currently in the western Caribbean, has an 80% chance of development and a 25% chance of being a minor hurricane when it reaches the coast of the panhandle, or the Big Bend in a few days. A s the Gulf and Atlantic waters heat up to record temperatures, we will provide […]
Comparing proactive Irma prep under Governor Scott to reactive Ian prep under Governor DeSantis
I fired off this tweet storm yesterday evening after going through my own notes on Hurricane Irma taken in September 2017. It’s pretty clear despite my personal distaste for Governor Scott’s approach, it was more effective in coordination with local governments as well as proactive about evacuations than the DeSantis approach in Ian. For those […]
Looking back at Hurricane Andrew
Five years ago, to mark the 25th Anniversary of Hurricane Andrew we ran a special series. In the wake of Hurricane Ian, it’s time reup this. Here are links from our archives: Part I: 1966 to 1992 Complacency and good luck for south Florida Part II: The week leading into Andrew NOAA image Part III […]
How a 1926 Florida Hurricane stimulated the Great Depression
From the Florida History Podcast archives we discuss the Great Miami Hurricane of 1926 and how it stimulated the Great Depression and ended the Florida Land Boom.
Hurricane Wilma remembered
We look back at Hurricane Wilma’s impact on southern Florida in this podcast.
The Florida Squeeze 