Category 2024 Elections
Voting Trend Podcast: the debate aftermath
Kartik Krishnaiyer and I discuss the last debate, the impact that it has on the election, and how traditional conservatives, like Dick Cheney, found themselves endorsing Kamala Harris. Link here: https://open.substack.com/pub/votingtrend/p/how-can-the-debate-change-the-election?r=624o2&utm_medium=ios
Can Kamala Harris win Florida? Maybe but Florida polls are historically unreliable – here is why.
Why are Florida’s polls going back to 2002 so historically unreliable and what does the rapid increase in non-partisan voters due to elections in Florida? Florida has more major media markets than any other state in the country and that and rapid demographic shifts complicates how to view from a data & polling standpoint.
Do ballot initiatives drive partisan results in Florida?
We’ve heard a lot from Democrats how abortion and marijuana being on the ballot means Harris and DMP will win Florida…here is the historic reality.
New YouTube series on the 2024 Election in Florida
Beginning today we will be providing new videos periodically (but at least once a week) on the election in Florida. Bookmark our YouTube page
Jimmy Dore, RFK Jr, Tulsi Gabbard and the abandonment of actual progressive principles – rugged individualism versus community good
This past week, citing COVID-19 Comedian turned “Left-wing political influencer Jimmy Dore has vocally outlined his reasons for leaving the Democratic Party. Dore has focused heavily on COVID-19 and articulated a view of rugged and dare I say selfish individualism that completely undermines the arguments of community that has throughout my lifetime been a staple […]
What should Florida Democrats who really want to help the Harris/Walz ticket and don’t care about local elections do?
Florida is NOT in play. I repeat Florida is NOT in play. Yes, I’ve seen the recent Poling but I’ve also done the math. By my estimations Harris would have to win somewhere between 60% and 62% of the NPA vote in the state to win Florida. For comparison President Obama in his victorious 2012 […]
PODCAST: Walz is picked, and political consultants are wrong
In this episode, Dave Trotter and Kartik Krishnaiyer talk about how picking Minnesota Governor Tim Walz was the absolute best choice for Democrats. We also talk about how the consultancy class has lost their minds over the selection of Walz. And finally, we talk about possible states to watch in the coming elections.
New podcast covering elections starting this Wednesday
Starting this Wednesday, Voting Trend will have a weekly podcast to talk about campaign and elections, look at polling data, and discuss the state of politics today. I will be joined by Kartik Krishnaiyer for this weekly podcast. So, look for that first episode to drop on Wednesday!
The brilliant Walz pick- The political consultant class is wrong again
It’s been reported the classic Democratic DC consultant class operatives as well as many “Never Trump” GOPers, and professional centrists thought that Josh Shapiro should be Kamala Harris’ VP pick. Shapiro no doubt would come from the same tired playbook that led Hillary Clinton to pick Tim Kaine and to assume that a VP pick […]
The Florida Squeeze 