Author Archives: Dave Trotter
Debunking the “Gaza will cost Harris Michigan” myth.
The media’s obsession with Gaza hurting Democrat among Muslim voters is not backed up with facts, but skewed data. Read more at Voting Trend
Are Democrats becoming the “Culver’s Party”?
The selection of Tim Walz helps Democrats capture the cultural center of America. Continue reading at Voting Trend.
Five ways Walz’s entry shapes the 2024 election.
The dynamic of this campaign has change, and so has the focus. Read more at Voting Trend
Signs Harris is solidifying Latino support
The most recent CBS/YouGov poll indicates that lukewarm Hispanic supporters of Biden are more bullish on Harris. Read more at Voting Trend
Picking a VP from a Swing State rarely works
Many in the Democratic consultancy circles seem to think that “state” matters most. History says otherwise. Read more at Voting Trend
The Blue MAGA cult
Yesterday, the “vote for Biden to save democracy” argument died. Prior to the Biden debate debacle, the narrative from the Democrats was “if you want to save democracy, you then need to vote against Trump.” Of course, this means that you have to vote for Biden, the only alternative in an extremely broken two-party political […]
The Biden Personality Cult making the Democrats undemocratic
I started this Substack to focus on numbers when it comes to campaigns and elections in the United States and around the world. I wanted to stay out of commentary. However, last night’s presidential primary has made me reconsider the content on this platform, as it really needs to be talked about. First and foremost, […]
Florida State Senate Partisan Swings
Along with the Florida House ratings, the Senate ratings have now been released. See the interactive map at Tableau and support my efforts by becoming a paid member of Voting Trend.
The Democrats’ Elitist Macroeconomic Problem
Democrats continuously use macroeconomic indicators to tell people how good they actually have it. But polls tell a different story. Read more here
It’s official: The race for president is purely a turnout race.
With no movement in the polls, any chance of making this election a “persuasion” election is out the window. Read more at Voting Trend.
The Florida Squeeze 