President Biden, despite being in his 80’s is seeking reelection. After losing Florida in 2020, what role will the Sunshine State play in his reelection?

• Florida remains an important state for Democratic donors and fundraising. Expect Biden or surrogates to spend plenty of time here.
• The Florida Primary will pit Biden against at least two challengers – Marianne Williamson who is running as a progressive to Biden’s left, and Robert Kennedy Jr., who has extensive Florida ties, including formerly being of counsel to Morgan & Morgan and for years hosting a national radio show, with Pensacola’s Mike Papantonio, who was law partners with the esteemed Fred Levin. Kennedy is defined as a progressive, but more of a Glenn Greenwald progressive than a Bernie Sanders one. Sanders for his part has already endorsed Biden. Williamson who ran in 2020, mixes an eclectic set of issues, which puts her far outside the mainstream. I actually personally find her views fascinating, not that I agree with them all or intend to cast a vote for her. But I don’t begrudge her for running. On RFK Jr. running, and its validity, let’s save that conversation for another time. It probably deserves its own post.
• In a potential General Election against Governor Ron DeSantis, Biden could lose Florida by 15-20 points- similar to how noncompetitive Texas was in 2000 and 2004. However against Donald J. Trump of another GOP nominee, Florida could be a 5 point state- therefore one that might end up on target lists. It won’t be a top tier target, and Florida is a notoriously expensive state to run in, because of the number of large media markets that money has to be spent.
• Rick Scott who has never been very popular, but strong enough to win three statewide elections by razor-thin margins is on the ballot. Will the Democrats have a top-tier challenger that can help drive turnout and potentially improve Biden’s prospects in the state? Doubtful, but it is possible.