November Expectation Rubric for Florida Democrats

As most of you know, I am a student at the University of Florida in Political science.   As one who had to be graded often, I find that clear expectations are the key to a good grade.   With this in mind, I decide to write my grade rubric for Democrats for November in state Government.  According to Wikipedia, “A scoring rubric is an attempt to communicate expectations of quality around a task”.   While analysis will follow afterwards, these are how I will set up my expectations.

Here is how I will grade Democratic performance:

A+        Governor and Attorney General win, no loss in the house, no loss in the Senate.
A          Governor and Attorney General win, lose one seat in the house, no loss in the Senate
A –       Governor and Attorney General win, lose two seats, no loss in the Senate

B+       Governor wins and AG lose, drop two seats lose, do not lose any seats in the Senate
B         Governor wins and AG lose,  drop three seats in House, no loss in Senate
B –      Governor wins and AG lose,  drop four house seats, no loss in Senate

C+       Governor loses, but Attorney General wins, lose two house seats, no loss in Senate
C         All cabinet loses, lose three house seats, do not lose any seats in the Senate
C-        Lose four house seats, do not lose any seats in the Senate

D+       Lose two house seats, lose Senate seat
D         Lose three house seats, lose Senate seat
D-        Lose four house seats, lose Senate seat.

F         Governor Scott returns with a full Republican cabinet and a veto-proof majority in the house and senate.

As we have talked many times, incumbent protection is the theme for this November.  While with better candidate recruitment it may have been possible to pick up a seat or two, the likelihood of adding to 45 is very slim at this point.  The best possible scenario is that no net loss – while Clelland and Zimmerman look to be in serious trouble and a few others on the brink, we were lenient in grading on gains in the house.  In 2016, expectations will be higher for a few seat pick-ups, with the hope that the Democrats can break 50.  With the Senate seats still in question with the LWV lawsuit, it will be interesting to see if the Senate districts get redrawn.

While we at the Squeeze are frequent critics of the party, hopefully this will clear up how I will be evaluating party performance after November elections.  And everybody please remember to vote – you can bump up the party’s grade.

10 comments

  1. what’s a rubric?

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  2. “do not loose any seats” —— I too hate it when I have loose seats. So hard to get it to come out in the wash……….

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  3. Totally unfair and not worth even debating. Setting up the party to fail.

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    1. Feel free to suggest another!

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      1. A – D’s win Gov race, lose everything else, hold on to house and senate seats
        B – D’s win Gov race, lose everything else, lose house and senate seats
        C – D’s lose all statewide elections, lose house and senate seats
        D – R’s sweep all state and federal elections, some local D’s win
        F – R’s sweep every election, including local races

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      2. I only did for state. Maybe I’ll work on a local after we do endorsements!

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  4. Torrey Craig · ·

    Interesting grading scale – Katy I think you are to forgiving. We need to have strong serious candidates across the board especially in the legislative races and Congressional races, simply said we don’t. Candidate recruitment continues to be a on going failing. Before we step up to the plate on election day at best our collective efforts rate a C.

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    1. I purposely did not consider Congressional races in this grading scale – I did ONLY for state seats. I completely agree on the candidate recruitment. And it has to start on the local level – Dems gotta build a bench.

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  5. OrlandoChris · ·

    Comparison chart of candidates for Florida Governor: https://karldickey.files.wordpress.com/2014/09/wyllie-comparison-chart1.jpg

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  6. […] while ago, I made a post on exactly how I was going to grade Democrats after the election. I wanted everyone to know how I measured and how I would […]

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