Author Archives: Dave Trotter
Is Danielle Smith Sabotaging Pierre Poilievre?
Is Smith, along with Kevin O’Leary and Preston Manning, making a power play in a potential Conservative Party vacuum? Read more at the 11th Province
I’ve NEVER seen this in my 34 years in Florida politics!
I’ve worked in Florida politics for over 33 years. Specifically, I’ve worked in numbers crunching. I’ve made the most accurate nowcast models of Florida (beating 538 in 2012, 2014, 2016, and 2018). I know the state’s political geography like the back of my hand. But what happened yesterday in Florida’s 1st Congressional is something that […]
Can Democrats win Florida’s 6th Congressional District?
Probably not, but never say never… A lot of heads were turned a few days ago when a poll out of Florida showed that Florida’s 6th Congressional District was within the margin of error. A poll conductedby St. Pete Polls showed that Democrat Josh Weil trailed Republican Randy Fine by only 4%. Fine led the poll […]
Voting Trend & TFS poll in FL-13 confirms dead-heat race
The Florida Squeeze has partnered with Voting Trend to commission a poll by St Pete Polls the most reliable Florida-based polling firm on CD-13. The poll was funded by TFS and Voting Trend readers. The congressional district which is based in Pinellas County is currently held by GOP Incumbent Anna Paulina Luna. The district was […]
We need your help to fund a poll of Florida’s most competitive Congressional district
Hello everyone! Voting Trend will be working with St. Pete Polls to conduct a poll of Florida’s 13th Congressional District, a race that could possibly determine the tilt of Congress. We are currently providing a GoFundMe for the poll. Those who contribute will be acknowledged in the release of the poll, and will be given a […]
Voting Trend Podcast: the debate aftermath
Kartik Krishnaiyer and I discuss the last debate, the impact that it has on the election, and how traditional conservatives, like Dick Cheney, found themselves endorsing Kamala Harris. Link here: https://open.substack.com/pub/votingtrend/p/how-can-the-debate-change-the-election?r=624o2&utm_medium=ios
PODCAST: Walz is picked, and political consultants are wrong
In this episode, Dave Trotter and Kartik Krishnaiyer talk about how picking Minnesota Governor Tim Walz was the absolute best choice for Democrats. We also talk about how the consultancy class has lost their minds over the selection of Walz. And finally, we talk about possible states to watch in the coming elections.
New podcast covering elections starting this Wednesday
Starting this Wednesday, Voting Trend will have a weekly podcast to talk about campaign and elections, look at polling data, and discuss the state of politics today. I will be joined by Kartik Krishnaiyer for this weekly podcast. So, look for that first episode to drop on Wednesday!
The Florida Squeeze 