The Florida Squeeze has partnered with Voting Trend to commission a poll by St Pete Polls the most reliable Florida-based polling firm on CD-13. The poll was funded by TFS and Voting Trend readers.

The congressional district which is based in Pinellas County is currently held by GOP Incumbent Anna Paulina Luna. The district was recently ravaged by two major Hurricanes – Helene and Milton which delayed the pollster from going into the field – but we now have results!

This district, which was drawn specifically to have a Republican represent Pinellas by excluding most of St. Petersburg, would deal the Republicans a major blow if Fox were to prevail, and would be an early sign on Election Night that Democrats could have a strong night nationwide.

Fox has strong support from Democrats, but is also winning 15% of Republicans. Independents are also favoring Fox 48% to 41%, a trend that is common in Florida politics. When it comes to the gender gap, both are quite even, which is not a surprise in Pinellas County politics. The same with an overwhelming number of voters indicating that they plan to vote by mail.

As far as the presidential race in the district, Kamala Harris is up on Donald Trump 49.5% to 46.6% in the district. Harris is also winning a significant chunk of Republican voters, at 16%, and beating Trump with independents by 11%.

Download the full poll below!