At 11 am ET, the NHC calculates these are the probabilities for Florida cities to experience Tropical Storm force winds between now and Saturday:

Venice 99%

Naples 98%

Key West 97%

Fort Myers 97%

Tampa 96%

Orlando 89%

Melbourne 87%

Daytona Beach 86%

The Villages 82%

Cedar Key 75%

West Palm Beach 71%

Jacksonville 68%

Fort Lauderdale 64%

Miami 52%

Tallahassee 31%

Panama City 24%

All other major cities below 20%

Hurricane force winds

Venice 68%

Tampa 44%

Fort Myers 39%

Naples 32%

Orlando 27%

Melbourne 27%

Daytona Beach 24%

All other major cities below 20%