Snyder’s Take: So, About That FL 13 Poll From St. Pete Polls… #Shenanigans
Hi. I’m Back. More on my hiatus later. But for now, lets talk about this Alex Sink – David Jolly matchup in the 13th Congressional District Special Election.
For those that are not familiar, this election is not in November, it’s in 56 Days as a result of the death of long term Republican Congressman Bill Young on October 18th of last year. Yesterday, St Pete Polls released a poll that the folks over at Daily Kos Elections had a field day with. It’s comically skewed towards Republicans (naturally) and prominent blogger Peter Schorsch (whom by the way has written scripts for St Pete Polls in the past, and currently has his own fights in the ethics department as reported in the Tampa Bay Times), covered the release of the poll with a soft piece that (naturally) DID NOT mention the gleaming disparity in the sample: the number of Republicans and Democrats that were actually polled.
The Voter Registration numbers in Florida’s 13th Congressional District per the Florida Division of Elections, tell us that the district is in fact 37 percent Republican, 35 percent Democratic, and 24 percent independent. However, St Pete Polls’ OWN WEBSITE tells us that the poll was conducted with a 47-35 bias in favor of Republicans. Yeah, let that sink in. I’m calling shenanigans.
But, wait! There’s more! St. Pete Polls has a history of ridiculously inaccurate polling in FL Congressional Races. Daily Kos examined 8 races, St Pete Polls’ projection for each race (which we linked to St. Pete Polls’ actual poll for each race), the actual final results of each race (linked to 3rd party confirmation of results), and just how poor SPP’s accuracy really was.
On top of all of this, Peter Schorsch has worked for and with St Pete Polls in the past, and as the Tampa Bay Times examined, may be acting unethically by taking money from candidates in the form of ad space fees in exchange for fluff pieces and positive coverage. (Naturally.)
While I am not alleging any wrongdoing by Peter Schorsch, St Pete Polls, or any of the campaigns mentioned here, the facts I’m posting here for public consumption raise some interesting questions. Do with them as you please. A more in depth post on the actual FL 13 election is forthcoming, but I couldn’t write it without clearing the air of this shady pollution.
Until Next Time,